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Science and Technology prediction markets

Science and Technology prediction markets (mirrored from Kalshi).

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AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

$18,289,015 Vol

Gemini

1.46x

Qwen

166.67x

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Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

$34,165,450 Vol

Before Jan 1, 2027

45.45x

Before Jan 20, 2029

5.56x

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AI

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?

$374,381 Vol

Before Nov 13, 2026

4.35x

Before Dec 31, 2026

1.03x

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Public Health

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

$234,827 Vol

Above 2

16.67x

Above 10

33.33x

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AI

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

$581,683 Vol

Before Jan 1, 2027

14.29x

Before Dec 1, 2026

50.00x

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AI

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

$1,256,097 Vol

Google

20.00x

OpenAI

14.29x

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Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

$83,140 Vol

Yes

1.67x

No

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Space

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

$832,239 Vol

Above 170

50.00x

Above 160

50.00x

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Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

$489,237 Vol

New York, NY

50.00x

Tokyo, Japan

50.00x

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When will P vs NP be resolved?

$27,170 Vol

Before 2029

10.00x

Before 2028

16.67x

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AI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

$178,667 Vol

Necklace

33.33x

Clip-on device for clothing

12.50x

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AI

Next Gemini Pro model release

$75,838 Vol

Before Nov 16, 2026

100.00x

Before Dec 1, 2026

14.29x

Science and Technology Predictions · OpinionKings