As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026. 10 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 120”: If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b. Resolved using SpaceX.
This Science and Technology market on OpinionKings has 10 outcomes. “Above 120” leads at 99%, up from 98% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 140”, is at 77%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
