As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 64% probability that Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027. 19 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Las Vegas, NV”: If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Las Vegas, NV, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. Resolved using Waymo.
This Science and Technology market on OpinionKings has 19 outcomes. “Las Vegas, NV” leads at 64%, down from 79% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Detroit, MI”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
