As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 55% probability that the winner of the next Kenyan Senate election is Coalition including ODM. 3 outcomes · resolves Aug 30, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Coalition including ODM”: If the winner of the next Kenyan Senate election is Coalition including ODM, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “Coalition including ODM” leads at 55%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Coalition including UDA”, is at 36%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Aug 30, 2028.
