As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 74% probability that Louis Varland wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season. 26 outcomes · resolves Dec 8, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Louis Varland”: If Louis Varland wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 26 outcomes. “Louis Varland” leads at 74%, down from 93% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Cade Smith”, is at 5%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 8, 2026.