As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 27% probability that Cillian Murphy performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2031.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Cillian Murphy”: If Cillian Murphy performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using San Francisco Unified School District.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Cillian Murphy” leads at 27%, down from 28% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Idris Elba”, is at 23%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2031.
