As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 11% probability that the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the COVID-19 vaccine before Jan 1, 2027. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “COVID-19”: If the CDC ends its recommendation completely for the COVID-19 vaccine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Merely reducing the categories of persons that it recommends the vaccine for, without reducing those categories to zero, is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Resolved using CDC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “COVID-19” leads at 11%, down from 12% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Influenza”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
