As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 26% probability that the answer to “Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?” is “Scarlett Johansson”. 10 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Scarlett Johansson”: If Scarlett Johansson makes a qualifying appearance in any paid promotional content whose primary purpose is to market, promote, or advertise a mobile game that is available, or intended to be available, on smartphones or tablets before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and People Magazine.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 10 outcomes. “Scarlett Johansson” leads at 26%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “The Rock”, is at 25%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
