As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 16% probability that Spain is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion. 82 outcomes · resolves Jan 14, 2031.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Spain”: If Spain is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using FIFA and ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 82 outcomes. “Spain” leads at 16%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “France”, is at 12%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 14, 2031.
