As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 39% probability that Kyrie Irving announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2030-31 NBA season start date. 4 outcomes · resolves Nov 14, 2030.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before the 2030-31 season”: If Kyrie Irving announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2030-31 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Resolved using Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports and The Wall Street Journal.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before the 2030-31 season” leads at 39%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before the 2029-30 season”, is at 31%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 14, 2030.
