As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 66% probability that the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election is sworn in as a U.S. senator on December 15, 2026 before Dec 16, 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 15, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election is sworn in as a U.S. senator on December 15, 2026 after Issuance and before Dec 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and The Information.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 66%, up from 60% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 15, 2026.
