As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 90 million fish. 16 outcomes · resolves Jan 14, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 90 million”: If Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 90 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 16 outcomes. “At least 90 million” leads at 99%, up from 50% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 75 million”, is at 99%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 14, 2027.
