As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 83% probability that 1 reconciliation bill becomes law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 2, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “1”: If 1 reconciliation bill becomes law from Nov 25, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “1” leads at 83%, up from 75% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “2”, is at 13%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 2, 2027.
