As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 23% probability that the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel before Jan 2, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel after Issuance and before Jan 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Resolved using Federal Register.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 23%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
