As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 4% probability that Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken or announced it is taking a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken or announced it is taking a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A stake announced before the deadline counts, even if the deal closes after it. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Resolved using The Financial Times, ABC and The Information.
This Companies market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 4%, down from 6% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
