As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is above 1.30. 6 outcomes · resolves Nov 15, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “1.30001 or above”: If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “1.30001 or above” leads at 97%, up from 95% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “1.24 to 1.30”, is at 4%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 15, 2026.
