As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026. 5 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 35 GWdc”: If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Solar Energy Industries Association.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “At least 35 GWdc” leads at 97%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 40 GWdc”, is at 94%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2027.
