As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 24% probability that the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs. 2 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2027.
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If the combined annual-average employment in Michigan Motor Vehicle Manufacturing and Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 156,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will sum the 2026 annual-average values for BLS series SMU26000003133610001 and SMU26000003133630001. Both are measured in thousands of jobs and are not seasonally adjusted. The 156.6-thousand threshold is fixed. This definition does not include Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing (NAICS 3362), because BLS does not publish that statewide Michigan CES series separately. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 24%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2027.
