As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that Disney+ airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast. 21 outcomes · resolves Feb 14, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Disney+”: If Disney+ airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., "This halftime show brought to you by..."), or branded content integration with prominent display. The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends. Resolved using ABC Sports, Ad Age and Bloomberg News.
This Companies market on OpinionKings has 21 outcomes. “Disney+” leads at 91%, up from 85% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Hims & Hers”, is at 90%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 14, 2027.