As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 25% probability that the U.S. Census Bureau reports West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 is above 1,766,147. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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If the U.S. Census Bureau reports West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 is above 1,766,147, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Vintage 2026 July 1, 2026 resident population estimate for West Virginia published by the U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program. The threshold of 1,766,147 is fixed and will not change if Census subsequently revises its estimate of West Virginia's 2025 population. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 25%, down from 26% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
