As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 63% probability that Manon leaves Katseye before Jul 1, 2027. 5 outcomes · resolves Jul 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before July 2027”: If Manon leaves Katseye before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using New York Times, Associated Press and Bloomberg.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Before July 2027” leads at 63%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before 2027”, is at 20%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jul 1, 2027.
