As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 24% probability that the US personal saving rate is reported below 2.0% in any Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release covering a 2026 reference month. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 29, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the US personal saving rate is reported below 2.0% in any Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays release covering a 2026 reference month, then the market resolves to Yes. The “US personal saving rate” means the monthly personal saving rate reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, defined as personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. This market resolves based on the first value reported for each 2026 reference month in the corresponding BEA Personal Income and Outlays release. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 24%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 29, 2027.
