As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 74% probability that the 30-Yr FRM is above 7.4% in 2026. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 7.4%”: If the 30-Yr FRM is above 7.4% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 7.4%” leads at 74%, up from 40% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 7.5%”, is at 20%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
