As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 20% probability that Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 20, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 20%, down from 27% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.
