As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that the Democratic party has won control of the Senate in 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 1, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Democratic party”: If the Democratic party has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2029. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Democratic party” leads at 91%, up from 87% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Republican party”, is at 10%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 1, 2029.
