As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 174 in the 2026 U.S. House elections. 20 outcomes · resolves Jan 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 174”: If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 174 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat counts only if the relevant election authority records a Republican designation for the winning candidate’s candidacy in the November 3, 2026 general election; a recognized state affiliate, any one of several ballot lines, or a declared write-in candidacy so recorded all qualify. Resolved using Fox News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 20 outcomes. “At least 174” leads at 91%, up from 58% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 182”, is at 2%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 3, 2027.
