As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 85% probability that Democrats win 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana. 4 outcomes · resolves Nov 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “1”: If Democrats win 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “1” leads at 85%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “2”, is at 8%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 3, 2027.
