As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 15% probability that the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005). 2 outcomes · resolves Jun 29, 2029.
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If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 15%, up from 14% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jun 29, 2029.
