As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 89% probability that Hugh Jackman performs / is announced as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday. 19 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?”: If Hugh Jackman performs / is announced as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using San Francisco Unified School District.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 19 outcomes. “Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?” leads at 89%, up from 85% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?”, is at 89%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2028.
