As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026. 10 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $1M”: If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 10 outcomes. “Above $1M” leads at 99%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $5M”, is at 78%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
