As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 92% probability that the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027. 5 outcomes · resolves Jul 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Fed maintains rate”: If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No. Resolved using Federal Reserve.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Fed maintains rate” leads at 92%, up from 72% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Cut 25bps”, is at 5%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jul 28, 2027.
