As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 7% probability that Canada repeals its federal carbon pricing regime under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, including both the fuel charge and the Output-Based Pricing System, before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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If Canada repeals its federal carbon pricing regime under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, including both the fuel charge and the Output-Based Pricing System, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Carbon tax" means the federal carbon pricing regime under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, which has two parts: the fuel charge and the Output-Based Pricing System for large industrial emitters. Both parts must be repealed for this market to resolve to Yes. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 7%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
