As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 57% probability that a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law before Jan 1, 2028. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2028”: If a bill that removes/changes the gambling tax provision in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act ("OBBB") has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2028” leads at 57%, up from 45% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jan 1, 2029”, is at 50%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2029.
