As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 39% probability that Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2030 F1 season start date. 4 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2030.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before the 2030 season”: If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2030 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Resolved using ABC, Bleacher Report and The Wall Street Journal.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before the 2030 season” leads at 39%, down from 55% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before the 2029 season”, is at 15%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2030.
