As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.7 million. 8 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 1.7 million”: If NPS reports that New River Gorge National Park recreation visits in 2026 is above 1.7 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the finalized 2026 Recreation Visits total for New River Gorge NP & PRES (park code NERI) published by the National Park Service Visitor Use Statistics program. Preliminary current-year figures will not be used for final resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above 1.7 million” leads at 99%, up from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 1.8 million”, is at 97%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2027.
