As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 40% probability that Blue Origin launches New Shepard before Jan 1, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2029”: If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Federal Aviation Administration.
