As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 48% probability that Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Archival footage does not count. Resolved using Variety.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 48%, down from 51% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
