As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 69% probability that the answer to “Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?” is “Before Jan 31, 2028”. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 30, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 31, 2028”: If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes. Resolved using The Washington Post, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Before Jan 31, 2028” leads at 69%, up from 65% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Oct 1, 2027”, is at 52%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 30, 2028.
