As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 40% probability that Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament. 24 outcomes · resolves Nov 27, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Magnus Carlsen”: If Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Resolved using Chess.com, FIDE and Grand Chess Tour.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 24 outcomes. “Magnus Carlsen” leads at 40%, down from 59% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Ian Nepomniachtchi”, is at 15%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 27, 2026.
