As of Nov 13, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 16% probability that the U.S. suspends or revokes any Nvidia H200 export license for China before Apr 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If the U.S. suspends or revokes any Nvidia H200 export license for China after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. Resolved using ABC, Associated Press and MSNBC.
