As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6900. 17 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “6,900 or above”: If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6900, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using For example, Google Finance.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 17 outcomes. “6,900 or above” leads at 91%, down from 99% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “7,000 or above”, is at 88%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
