As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 89% probability that the answer to “EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?” is “2% or more above base”. 25 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “2% or more above base”: If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 639.804792 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the market resolves to Yes.
