As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 68% probability that the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law before Mar 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Mar 1, 2027”: If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts if enacted under that name, including as amended. Resolved using Library of Congress.