As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 10% probability that Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027. 13 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Italy”: If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Deutsche Welle, Fox News and Al Jazeera.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Italy” leads at 10%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “The Netherlands”, is at 10%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
