As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 3% probability that establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity becomes law before Jan 4, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 4, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve to Yes if a bill establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity—allowing individuals with concealed carry permits from one state to legally carry in all other states—has become law. Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 3%, down from 4% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 4, 2027.
