As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 45% probability that Taylor Swift is documented wearing a wedding dress designed by Dior during Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows. 30 outcomes · resolves Dec 30, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Dior”: If Taylor Swift is documented wearing a wedding dress designed by Dior during Taylor Swift's first wedding ceremony to Travis Kelce during which they exchange wedding vows, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must be photographed or video recorded with the article of clothing visibly worn on their body as intended (e.g., a jacket on the torso, not carried or draped). Valid documentation includes official event photography, live television coverage, professional photography from Source Agencies, or video footage from Source Agencies. Resolved using Vogue, Harper's Bazaar and Financial Times.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 30 outcomes. “Dior” leads at 45%, down from 68% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Oscar de la Renta”, is at 26%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 30, 2026.
