As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 90% probability that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Resolved using The Verge, ABC and Fox News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 90%, up from 70% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
