As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 6% probability that the answer to “Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 23, 2027.
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If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 6%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 23, 2027.
