As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 94% probability that Patrick Mahomes records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. 6 outcomes · resolves Mar 8, 2040.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “40,000+ passing yards”: If Patrick Mahomes records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Resolved using Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated and ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “40,000+ passing yards” leads at 94%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “50,000+ passing yards”, is at 83%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 8, 2040.
