As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Mississippi falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints. 14 outcomes · resolves Nov 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Mississippi”: If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Mississippi falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Resolved using Iowa Secretary of State, Alaska Division of Elections and Michigan Secretary of State - Bureau of Elections.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 14 outcomes. “Mississippi” leads at 99%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Florida (special)”, is at 99%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 3, 2027.
